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National accounts and business cycles
All content for topic national accounts and business cycles
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Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations
Discussion Papers no. 931
The paper derives a test for equal predictability of multi-step-ahead system forecasts that is invariant to linear transformations.
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Marginal compensated effects and the slutsky equation for discrete choice models
Discussion Papers no. 930
In many instances the consumer faces choice settings where the alternatives are discrete. Examples include choice between variants of differentiated products, urban transportation modes, residential locations, types of education, etc.
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Ways to project fertility in Europe
Discussion Papers no. 929
National statistical offices responsible for population projections should regularly evaluate their work. Norway is currently considering changing the way fertility is projected.
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Mainland GDP fell slightly more in March than first projected
Seasonally adjusted figures from the National Accounts show a 2.1 per cent decline in mainland-GDP in Q1 and 6.9 per cent from February to March. The development in March, when COVID-19 infection control measures were implemented, pulled down Q1 g...
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Energy prices continue to drop
Significant price reductions on most energy goods caused a further decrease in the Producer Price Index in April. Natural gas had a positive price development, but only due to a weak Norwegian krone.
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Estimating long-run income inequality from mixed tabular data: Empirical evidence from Norway, 1875-2017
Discussion Papers no. 928
This paper proposes a non-parametric approach for estimating inequality in the overall distribution of income on the basis of tabular data from different sources, some in a highly aggregated form.
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On the measurement of productivity growth in the Norwegian National Accounts
Documents 2020/20
This document aims to take a review with critique of the current methodologies for measuring productivity growth at Statistics Norway, with the view of identifying the availability of better methodologies and data sources.
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Modeling R&D spillovers to productivity: The effects of tax policy
Discussion Papers no. 927
We study the role of R&D spillovers when modelling total factor productivity (TFP) by industry.
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Preliminary figures show a 6.4 per cent decline in Mainland GDP for March
The Norwegian economy came to a halt in the second half of March 2020. Preliminary figures from the National Accounts show a 6.4 per cent fall in mainland GDP in March, adjusted for normal seasonal variations. This translates to a 1.9 per cent dec...
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Abrupt standstill in the Norwegian economy
The standstill in the Norwegian economy due to the coronavirus pandemic is unprecedented. The current slump is likely to persist for several years to come.
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Gloomy outlook for the second quarter
Norwegian industrial managers report a fall in the total production volume in the first quarter of the year. The general outlook for the second quarter of 2020 is characterized by pessimism and great uncertainty by the majority of industrial leade...
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Costs of school closure in the face of COVID-19
Reports 2020/15
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An uneasy world made its mark on PPI
March saw the largest monthly decrease in producer price index (PPI) in over 15 years. Uncertainties relating to the corona pandemic and the petroleum markets' are the main causes of this downturn.
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Slow growth in the mainland economy continues
Seasonally adjusted figures from the National accounts show a 0.1 per cent growth in gross domestic product (GDP) for mainland Norway from September-November to December-February. The growth rate is thus unchanged from January. The monthly growth ...
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Analysis of demand decline and their ripple effects as a result of Covid19 and measures to reduce the spread of infection
Reports 2020/14
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